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  • Now suppose that we have just tossed four heads in a row. A believer in the gambler's fallacy might say, "If the next coin flipped were to come up heads, it would generate a run of five successive heads. The probability of a run of five successive heads is 0.55 = 0.03125; therefore, the next coin flipped only has a 1 in 32 chance of coming up heads." Arnold Snyder's articles in Blackjack Forum magazine were the first to bring Shuffle Tracking to the general public. The gambler's fallacy can be illustrated by considering the repeated toss of a coin. With a fair coin the chances of getting heads are exactly 0.5 (a half). The chances of it coming up heads twice in a row are 0.5?0.5=0.25 (a quarter). The probability of three heads in a row is 0.5?0.5×0.5= 0.125 (an eighth) and so on. If you've never played blackjack before don't worry, you'll learn exactly what to do. You can start playing the games using fun credits, so if you're unsure about the strategy you can practice first without risking a penny. If the 'Banker' has an initial total of 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 and the 'Player' has an initial total of 6 or 7 and stands, the 'Banker' draws another card. The banker has now to decide whether he himself will draw a card, being guided in his decision partly by the cards he already holds, partly by the card (if any) drawn by the punter, and partly by what he may know or guess of the latter's mode of play. If he has hesitated over his decision, the banker may be pretty certain (unless such hesitation was an intentional blind) that his original point was five, and as the third card (if any) is exposed, his present point becomes equally a matter of certainty. The banker, having drawn or not drawn, as he may elect, exposes his cards, and receives or pays as the case may be. Ties neither win nor lose, but the stakes remain for the next hand. If the dealer does not have a natural, then the first player completely plays out his hand, followed by the next player, and so on. When all the players have finished the dealer plays his hand. When the probability of each event is not even, such as with a loaded die, a number which has come up more often in the past may very well continue to do so, if that number is favored by the weighting of the dice. This has been dubbed Nerd's Gullibility Fallacy -- assuming the coin indeed is fair and the gamblers are honest when it isn't the case. This is an example of Hume's principle: twenty times tails on row implies that it is far more likely that the premise of a fair coin is wrong and coin is forged, than that the initial premise is correct and the next toss will be fifty-fifty heads or tails. There are few things that are so unpardonably neglected in our country as poker... Why, I have known clergymen, good men, kindhearted, liberal, sincere, and all that, who did not know the meaning of a 'flush'. It is enough to make one ashamed of one's species. - Mark Twain odds that favor the casino resulting in negative expected return for the player; and The basic meaning of gambler's ruin is a gambler's loss of the last of his bank of gambling money and consequent inability to continue gambling. "Gambler's ruin" is also sometimes used to refer to a final large losing bet placed in the hopes of winning back all the gambler has lost during a gambling session. The traditional form of punto banco baccarat is played at an oval table, similar to the chemin de fer version. The table is staffed by a croupier, who directs the play of the game, and two dealers who collect and pay bets as well as tallying commissions due. Six or eight decks of cards are used, normally shuffled only by the croupier and dealers. Like chemin de fer, the shoe is passed around from player to player, who acts as the dealer of the cards and as "banker," but he or she does not actually bank the game. Indeed, the "banker" may bet on the player hand if he or she wishes, or may pass the shoe along to another player - the role of the "banker" is merely ceremonial. The person who bet the highest amount on the player hand is given the player-hand cards, though he or she simply turns the cards over, annoucing their total. The croupier instructs the "banker" on if or when to deal third cards, and then announces the winning hand. Safety and privacy. An online casino will not try to film you and whom you walked in with. You wouldn't be kicked out of the online casino if you don't observe the dress code (we don't have a dress code!), if you win too much (like they always do in the movies!) or if they simply don't like you. You can play games in an online casino while wearing boxers and flipflops. And you can do it with beer in your hand, a cigarette or whatever is it that you prefer to consume. The online casino doesn't care. No one has to know that you do it, and no one does. It's absolutely your business and not anyone else's. The online casinos know better than abusing your trust: they just don't get the opportunity to cheat you. Besides, all serious online casino businesses employ latest state of the art encryption technologies to protect the players' privacy. When entering an online casino, study their privacy statement! The hard core security technologies that online casinos employ are designed to protect the player because it is the player that is the most valuable asset of online casinos So besides the interior, the online casinos are not all that different yet provide many advantages over the "real" casinos. Nothing is missing: blackjack, all sorts of pokers and slots, roulette, craps, baccarat - an online casino is a serious if not deadly competition to the land casino industry which, allow yours truly to add, is upsetting the latter somewhat. [edit]
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